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04 Oct 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.3%
Granada
25.3%
Draw
24.4%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Granada

vs
0.99

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).