Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Osnabruck
27.9%
Draw
32.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Osnabruck
vs
1.28
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).