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AHT: 10CSV

12 Feb 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.7%
Asteras Tripolis
31.9%
Draw
25.4%
Ionikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Asteras Tripolis

vs
0.88

Ionikos

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).