Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Tenerife
29.4%
Draw
26.7%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Tenerife
vs
0.86
Eldense
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).