Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Sarpsborg 08
19.8%
Draw
55.9%
Viking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sarpsborg 08
vs
2.26
Viking
Markets
BTTS68.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).