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05 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Rheindorf Altach
31.4%
Draw
40.5%
Sturm Graz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Rheindorf Altach

vs
1.19

Sturm Graz

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).