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24 Feb 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Kasimpasa
34.2%
Draw
26.3%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Kasimpasa

vs
1.04

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).