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19 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.7%
Besiktas
24.4%
Draw
10.9%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Besiktas

vs
0.79

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).