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14 Apr 2026 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Leyton Orient
23.9%
Draw
32.9%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Leyton Orient

vs
1.21

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).