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21 Feb 2026 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.6%
Kharkiv
33.1%
Draw
22.3%
Kryvbas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Kharkiv

vs
0.67

Kryvbas

Markets

BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.3%
0-0
17.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).