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03 Nov 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.4%
Anderlecht
22.1%
Draw
20.5%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Anderlecht

vs
1.13

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).