Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Sudtirol
32.0%
Draw
19.6%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Sudtirol
vs
0.71
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).