Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Cesena
27.2%
Draw
29.0%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Cesena
vs
1.24
Empoli
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).