Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Heidenheim
22.8%
Draw
46.8%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Heidenheim
vs
2.01
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
0-1
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).