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15 Dec 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.2%
Gent
23.8%
Draw
30.0%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Gent

vs
1.41

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).