Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Doncaster
23.1%
Draw
23.2%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Doncaster
vs
0.94
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).