Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Sociedad
26.0%
Draw
35.4%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Sociedad
vs
1.34
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).