Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Gil Vicente
31.8%
Draw
26.8%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Gil Vicente
vs
0.89
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).