Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Oldham
25.9%
Draw
24.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Oldham
vs
0.92
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).