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12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.3%
Curzon Ashton
6.1%
Draw
88.6%
King's Lynn Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Curzon Ashton

vs
5.34

King's Lynn Town

Markets

BTTS81.2%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.599.2%
Over 2.597.0%
Over 3.591.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-5
5.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
4.7%
2-4
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
0-5
3.3%
0-4
3.1%
3-5
2.6%
3-4
2.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).