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DHT: 10CSV

07 Dec 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Brest
24.4%
Draw
39.6%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Brest

vs
1.39

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).