Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Juventus
19.1%
Draw
15.1%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Juventus
vs
0.92
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).