Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Harrogate
27.5%
Draw
51.2%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Harrogate
vs
1.32
Colchester
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).