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02 Mar 2025 · 11:00

Fakel

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.9%
Khimki
29.7%
Draw
11.4%
Fakel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Khimki

vs
0.48

Fakel

Markets

BTTS30.2%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.0%
0-0
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
1.8%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).