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HHT: 30CSV

03 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Aberdeen
30.5%
Draw
34.3%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Aberdeen

vs
1.09

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).