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AHT: 00CSV

01 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Cadiz
30.2%
Draw
40.0%
Sevilla

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Cadiz

vs
1.18

Sevilla

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).