Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Lyon
24.0%
Draw
14.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Lyon
vs
0.64
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).