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24 Jan 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Samsunspor
43.6%
Draw
26.5%
Kocaelispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Samsunspor

vs
0.70

Kocaelispor

Markets

BTTS29.8%
Over 0.573.5%
Over 1.545.8%
Over 2.518.0%
Over 3.56.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
26.5%
1-1
15.4%
1-0
14.5%
0-1
13.2%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
0-3
1.3%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).