Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Dover Athletic
27.7%
Draw
45.9%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Dover Athletic
vs
1.51
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).