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21 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Beerschot VA
26.3%
Draw
37.3%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Beerschot VA

vs
1.44

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).