Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.2%
Porto
27.6%
Draw
10.2%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Porto
vs
0.44
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.9%
2-0
15.9%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
10.4%
3-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-0
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
0-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).