Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Chesterfield
27.1%
Draw
42.7%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Chesterfield
vs
1.53
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).