Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.2%
Gil Vicente
18.2%
Draw
7.6%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Gil Vicente
vs
0.58
Boavista
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).