Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
AFC Wimbledon
25.2%
Draw
35.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.17
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).