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11 Jan 2026 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.5%
OFI Crete
25.8%
Draw
22.8%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

OFI Crete

vs
1.09

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).