Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Dijon
26.1%
Draw
47.5%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Dijon
vs
1.32
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).