Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Cardiff
26.0%
Draw
55.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Cardiff
vs
1.69
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).