Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Reading
29.2%
Draw
47.0%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Reading
vs
1.41
Brentford
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).