Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Metz
13.1%
Draw
11.0%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Metz
vs
1.03
Nimes
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
3.4%
5-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).