Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Cagliari
24.2%
Draw
57.9%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Cagliari
vs
1.63
Roma
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).