Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Catanzaro
26.9%
Draw
35.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Catanzaro
vs
1.45
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).