Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
St Etienne
22.4%
Draw
33.7%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
St Etienne
vs
1.44
Nantes
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).