Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Witham Town
24.2%
Draw
17.8%
Hertford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Witham Town
vs
0.75
Hertford Town
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).