Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Hartlepool
22.2%
Draw
63.1%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Hartlepool
vs
2.02
York
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).