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23 Feb 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Gorica
29.8%
Draw
17.7%
Šibenik

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Gorica

vs
0.74

Šibenik

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).