Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Moreirense
22.4%
Draw
65.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Moreirense
vs
1.68
Porto
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.6%
0-2
15.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
1-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).