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26 Dec 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.3%
Wrexham
26.6%
Draw
33.2%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Wrexham

vs
1.38

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS59.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).