Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.2%
Real Madrid
11.6%
Draw
6.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Real Madrid
vs
0.75
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).