Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Ath Bilbao
24.4%
Draw
22.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.04
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).