Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Cordoba
20.3%
Draw
11.9%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Cordoba
vs
0.66
Lugo
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).